Day 4 at the ATP BNP Paribas Open in Indian Wells features a fascinating mix of experience and rising talent, with several matchups that could go either way. Gael Monfils looks to continue his strong form against a returning Sebastian Korda, while Alex de Minaur aims to keep his hot streak alive against the veteran David Goffin. Felix Auger-Aliassime, one of the best performers of 2025 so far, faces the crafty Jenson Brooksby in a battle of contrasting styles, and Karen Khachanov will need to shake off his recent struggles to avoid an upset against teenage sensation Jakub Mensik. With conditions in the desert often playing a key role, these matchups promise plenty of intrigue. Who will battle through and secure their place in the next round?

ATP Indian Wells Day 4 Predictions

Alex de Minaur vs David Goffin

Head-to-Head: De Minaur 6-0 Goffin

Alex de Minaur has been one of the most in-form players on tour, consistently proving his ability to grind down opponents with relentless defense and counterpunching.  The conditions at Indian Wells should only enhance his strengths, making it even harder for David Goffin to hit through him. Goffin, while experienced, has struggled with consistency in recent seasons and hasn’t shown the level needed to trouble top players. Expect de Minaur to dictate with his superior movement and intensity, likely securing a straight-sets win.
Prediction: De Minaur in 2

Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Jenson Brooksby

Head-to-Head: Brooksby 1-0 Auger-Aliassime

Felix Auger-Aliassime has been one of the most consistent performers on tour in 2025, with deep runs in several events showcasing his improved shot selection and mental resilience. His powerful baseline game and strong serve should allow him to take control of points against Jenson Brooksby, who relies on his disruptive, counterpunching style to frustrate opponents. While Brooksby looked sharp in his first-round win, he’s still adjusting to tour-level competition after a long layoff, and Indian Wells’ conditions may not give him the easy errors he thrives on. If Auger-Aliassime maintains his recent level, he should be able to dictate play and secure a hard-fought win.
Prediction: Auger-Aliassime in 3

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Karen Khachanov vs Jakub Mensik

Head-to-Head: Khachanov 1-0 Mensik

Karen Khachanov has struggled to find his best form in 2025, with early exits in several tournaments and a lack of consistency in key moments. His powerful baseline game can still be effective in Indian Wells’ conditions, but he’ll need to raise his level against Jakub Mensik, a rising star who has already proven his ability to compete with top players. Mensik’s combination of big serving and aggressive shot-making could trouble Khachanov, especially if the Russian struggles to find rhythm. If the teenager can handle the occasion, an upset could be on the cards.
Prediction: Mensik in 3

Gael Monfils vs Sebastian Korda

Head-to-Head: first meeting

Gael Monfils has shown strong form in recent weeks, highlighted by a solid start to the year. His athleticism and shot-making thrive in slower, high-bouncing conditions like those in Indian Wells, which should allow him to extend rallies and disrupt Korda’s rhythm. Korda, meanwhile, hasn’t played since Marseille and may need time to adjust to the conditions, making him vulnerable against an in-form and battle-tested Monfils. If the Frenchman can dictate with his variety and keep Korda moving, he has a strong chance to come out on top.
Prediction: Monfils in 2

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