FLOWERY BRANCH, Ga. — The regular season comes to a close this week. The Falcons (8-8) still have a slim path to the playoffs, but a path, nonetheless.

After losing to the Washington Commanders (11-5) in Week 17, paired with a Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9-7) victory, the Falcons fell out of the top NFC South spot and out of the current playoff picture.

Before last week Atlanta had a 54% chance to clinch a postseason berth, according to NFL.com, but that percentage has fallen to just 11%. The Buccaneers are in the division driver’s seat with an 89% chance of making the playoffs.

To beat the odds, the Falcons would need to win their regular season finale against the Carolina Panthers (4-12) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, and the Bucs would have to lose to the New Orleans Saints (5-11) at home (yes, that means rooting for the Saints). Both those games kick off at 1 p.m. Sunday.

There’s just one playoff spot still up for grabs in the NFC as the season winds down, and all eyes are on the NFC South. Take a look at where things stand as of Wednesday, Jan. 1: